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Post by carrick on Sept 16, 2020 2:00:25 GMT
There used to be more detail than this on the site about the accuracy of predictions being affected when lots of wildcards are being used, and there does seem to be a few this week! www.fplstatistics.co.uk/WC/CreateWCID15/09/2020 #FPL Overnight Rises: Willian (£8.1M) Bamford (£5.6M) #FPL Overnight Fallers: Pépé (£7.9M) 16/09/2020 Price Falls ✔️ 🔻Cédric £4.9m 🔻Saliba £4.4m 🔻Mané £11.9m 🔻Minamino £6.4m No Price Rises ✔️ |
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Post by xabi on Sept 16, 2020 2:51:51 GMT
great work carrick - this thread is a great resource to have, glad you've started a new thread.
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Post by vsberlina on Sept 16, 2020 5:40:41 GMT
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Post by xabi on Sept 16, 2020 8:44:29 GMT
Odd though, that Bruno and KDB were 100+ yesterday, and now have dropped to 95 something. How does the algo work, wondering how 'Target' can drop. From my earlier understanding it's threshold (delta) that keeps going up depending on transfers, delta
delta=0 implies Target = 100+
Surely, people haven't transferred out Bruno, KDB in enough numbers to drop that low.
Must be something else (like some normalization) going on
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Post by ag76 on Sept 16, 2020 9:22:54 GMT
There used to be more detail than this on the site about the accuracy of predictions being affected when lots of wildcards are being used, and there does seem to be a few this week! www.fplstatistics.co.uk/WC/CreateWCID |
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Post by xabi on Sept 16, 2020 10:41:56 GMT
There used to be more detail than this on the site about the accuracy of predictions being affected when lots of wildcards are being used, and there does seem to be a few this week! www.fplstatistics.co.uk/WC/CreateWCIDAh, yes. That makes sense. Cheers ag76 So I guess a bunch of people made the KDB and Bruno moves, and then elected to WC, so their moves don't count any more, so the count came back down.
I'd forgotten about that caveat.
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Post by vsberlina on Sept 16, 2020 10:51:23 GMT
There used to be more detail than this on the site about the accuracy of predictions being affected when lots of wildcards are being used, and there does seem to be a few this week! www.fplstatistics.co.uk/WC/CreateWCIDAh, yes. That makes sense. Cheers ag76 So I guess a bunch of people made the KDB and Bruno moves, and then elected to WC, so their moves don't count any more, so the count came back down.
I'd forgotten about that caveat.
Yep. Also, FPL tend to change how prices fluctuate, so the site folk are always tweaking their engine. After a few weeks, they usually get it bang on. |
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Post by carrick on Sept 17, 2020 1:27:42 GMT
There used to be more detail than this on the site about the accuracy of predictions being affected when lots of wildcards are being used, and there does seem to be a few this week! www.fplstatistics.co.uk/WC/CreateWCIDcheers mate.. may allow me to quote your post to my first post there. |
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Post by carrick on Sept 17, 2020 1:32:47 GMT
17/09/2020
#FPL Overnight Rises:
Calvert-Lewin (£7.1M)
#FPL Overnight Fallers:
Saka (£5.4M)
Seri (£4.9M)
Alli (£7.9M)
Bergwijn (£7.4M)
Phillips (£5.4M)
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Post by ag76 on Sept 18, 2020 0:38:09 GMT
www.fplstatistics.co.uk/Home/ComingSoonWe are reviewing a potential rule change (more accurately a rule reveal) mainly affecting players from the non playing teams this game week, i.e. Man Utd, Man City, Villa and Burnley, and also a small number of players who have matches this game week. The new rule is currently affecting a small group of players who are reluctant to rise. The rule change has not yet been proven - Bruno, KDB and Martial could still rise tonight. I will only know for sure after the first price changes of the new game week complete on Saturday / Sunday morning.
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Post by carrick on Sept 18, 2020 1:35:16 GMT
18/09/2020
#FPL Overnight Fallers:
Kolasinac (£4.9M)
Nketiah (£5.9M)
Harry Wilson (£5.4M)
Aurier (£5.4M)
Yarmolenko (£5.9M)
Haller (£6.4M)
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Post by carrick on Sept 19, 2020 1:34:02 GMT
19/09/2020
#FPL Overnight Rises:
Digne (£6.1M)
Vardy (£10.1M)
Justin (£4.6M)
#FPL Overnight Fallers:
Özil (£6.9M)
Torreira (£4.9M)
Nelson (£5.4M)
Guendouzi (£4.9M)
Rüdiger (£4.9M)
Abraham (£7.4M)
Hudson-Odoi (£5.9M)
McDonald (£4.9M)
Knockaert (£5.4M)
Iheanacho (£5.9M)
Thomas (£4.4M)
Firmino (£9.4M)
Son (£8.9M)
Lo Celso (£6.9M)
Grosicki (£5.4M)
Antonio (£6.4M)
Felipe Anderson (£6.4M)
Bowen (£6.4M)
Jota (£6.4M)
Vinagre (£4.4M)
Pulisic (£8.4M)
Lejeune (£4.4M)
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Post by carrick on Sept 20, 2020 1:43:58 GMT
20/09/2020
#FPL Overnight Rises:
Mitchell (£4.1M)
Calvert-Lewin (£7.2M)
Klich (£5.6M)
Gabriel (£5.1M)
#FPL Overnight Fallers:
Willock (£4.9M)
Giroud (£6.9M)
Milivojevic (£5.9M)
Walcott (£5.9M)
Iwobi (£5.9M)
Le Marchand (£4.4M)
Johansen (£4.9M)
Gray (£5.4M)
Cooper (£4.4M)
Milner (£5.4M)
#FPL Overnight Fallers (Cont):
Keita (£5.4M)
Ings (£8.4M)
Boufal (£5.4M)
Lamela (£5.9M)
Sessegnon (£4.9M)
Austin (£5.4M)
Snodgrass (£5.9M)
Lallana (£6.4M)
Shaqiri (£6.4M)
Ziyech (£7.9M)
#FPL Overnight Fallers (Cont):
Benkovic (£4.4M)
Forshaw (£4.9M)
Matty Longstaff (£4.9M)
Mousset (£5.9M)
Tanganga (£4.9M)
Sessegnon (£4.4M)
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Post by carrick on Sept 21, 2020 1:40:41 GMT
21-09-2020
Price Rises!
James £5.1m
Zaha £7.1m
Bamford £5.7m
Salah £12.1m
Son £9.0m
Price Falls!
Sokratis £4.9m
Andone £4.9m
Azpilicueta £5.9m
Tomori £4.9m
Batshuayi £5.9m
Kelly £4.4m
Meyer £4.9m
Bernard £5.9m
Holgate £4.9m
Cairney £5.4m
Morgan £4.4m
Grot £4.9m
Rodrigo £5.9m
Tsimikas £4.9m
Origi £5.4m
Atsu £5.4m
Joelinton £5.9m
Redmond £6.4m
Adams £5.9m
Valery £4.9m
Rose £4.9m
Alli £7.8m
Robson-Kanu £5.4m
Hegazi £4.4m
Ajayi £4.9m
Field £4.9m
Wilshere £4.9m
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Post by Tigerjames on Sept 21, 2020 14:08:09 GMT
Cheers Carrick
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